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Ex post analysis of economic impacts from wind power development in U.S. counties

机译:中国风电发展对经济影响的事后分析 美国各县

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摘要

Wind power development has surged in recent years in the United States. Policymakers and economic development practitioners to date have typically relied upon project-level case studies or modeled input–output estimates to assess the economic development impacts from wind power, often focusing on potential local, state-wide, or national employment or earnings impacts. Building on this literature, we conduct an ex post econometric analysis of the county-level economic development impacts of wind power installations from 2000 through 2008 in a large, wind-rich region in the country. Taking into account factors influencing wind turbine location, we find an aggregate increase in county-level personal income and employment of approximately $11,000 and 0.5 jobs per megawatt of wind power capacity installed over the sample period of 2000 to 2008. These estimates appear broadly consistent with modeled input–output results, and translate to a median increase in total county personal income and employment of 0.2% and 0.4% for counties with installed wind power over the same period.
机译:近年来,美国的风电发展迅猛。迄今为止,决策者和经济发展从业人员通常都依靠项目级案例研究或模型化的投入产出估算来评估风力发电对经济发展的影响,通常侧重于潜在的地方,全州或国家的就业或收入影响。在此文献的基础上,我们对2000年至2008年在该国风能丰富的大区域中风电装置对县级经济发展的影响进行了事后计量经济学分析。考虑到影响风力涡轮机位置的因素,我们发现在2000年至2008年的样本期内,县级个人收入和就业总计增加了约11,000美元,每兆瓦风力发电容量增加了0.5个工作。这些估计与对投入产出结果进行建模,并转化为同期安装了风力发电的县的县个人总收入和就业总数的中位数增长,分别为0.2%和0.4%。

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